V. Wait on Drafting A Quarterback

This is a good example of something that does not apply 100% of the time.  As this block falls below block II, it is implied that it is more important to understand the competition than waiting on a QB.

  • Now, why do we want to wait on our QB?  It’s simple.  If you look at the average points scored for RBs and WRs taken in rounds 1-4 vs. rounds 5-8, the difference is greater than QBs taken in rounds 1-4 and 5-8.  The main reason for this is that in a 12 team league only 12 QBs need to start.  At least 12 QBs in the NFL have the ability to score 30+ TDs and throw for over 4,000 yards, if not more.  However, not all WRs can catch 10+ TDs and gain 1,000+ yards.  You won’t be able to grab a RB or WR that can put up 80% of the productivity as the best player at that position in the 8th round; that is precisely what is possible to do with QBs.  I have the same philosophy regarding TEs.
  • As I said before regarding knowing the competition and league rules, if QBs have a greater scoring spread between them, then the higher tiered QBs are much more valuable.  The difference between QB 8 and QB 24 is much greater than QB 8 and QB 12 which adds more value to QBs in leagues that start more than one.  Know if QBs are more valuable than the average league then treat them as such.  In addition, in leagues that tend to wait on drafting QBs as a whole, use that as an advantage to stack up on FLEX players early and maybe even start the QB run by snagging a stud at a great value.  Just be sure not to miss a run on QBs between your picks.  In contrast, in leagues that drafts QBs early, use that as an advantage by picking the best FLEX players in the league and wait on drafting a QB until later in the draft.

* This is block 5 of an 11-part series that will be posted over the course of the next week.  It will then be posted in its entirety at the conclusion of the series.  Thank you for reading and be sure to come back tomorrow to the Overtime Network for the next blocks!